WrongWinner: Astralis
Mar 14ESL Pro League Season 23 Finals Quarterfinal
Mar 12, 2026 · 19:45BO3
Astralis
#12Odds: 4.35
vs
Spirit
#5Odds: 1.18
Astralis 43.5%
56.5% Spirit
Predicted winner: Spirit
Model Outputs
| FSVM Probability (T1) | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| XGB Probability (T1) | 27.1% |
| Ensemble (T1) | 43.5% |
| Models Agree | No |
| Confidence | 13.0% |
Bookmaker & Edge Analysis
| Astralis Odds | 4.35 |
|---|---|
| Spirit Odds | 1.18 |
| Implied Prob T1 | 23.0% |
| Implied Prob T2 | 84.8% |
| Edge | -28.2% |
|---|---|
| Edge Signal | Negative |